Every day we ask influential politicos to send us their top three bullet points that are driving the day's conversation inside and outside Washington.
RedState.Com Editor Erick-Woods Erickson:
– My friend Ed Rollins is getting a lot of flack for his opinion of Sarah Palin. I don't take Rollins to mean Palin is stupid. I don't think she is. But his opinion that she hasn't been serious the last several years is pervasive in all the Presidential camps. He just happened to be the one to say it first. It's also a reason many people don't think Palin will run — at least not unless she can change her polling. The Washington Post/ABC polling is not good news for her with nearly two-thirds of Americans thinking Palin is not qualified to be President.
– The GOP tends to go wobbly when bad polling comes out. Back in March, polling suggested the GOP needed to compromise more with the Democrats on the deficit. Instead, they drew a line in the sand on the debt ceiling and have demanded sizable cuts. I'm sure they'll try now to scale back their rhetoric, but the same Washington Post poll suggests Americans like the GOP's tough positioning.
– Let's not forget CNN's polling. A new CNN poll has the President's numbers dropping significantly among independent voters. It all comes back to 1992 — it's the economy. If it improves, Obama wins. If it doesn't, he loses. And things aren't looking good right now.
Firedoglake.com Blogger/Founder Jane Hamsher:
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